Revenue Forecasting

Know by the 10th whether you'll hit this month's target

Shredeo projects your next month, quarter, and full year of revenue from the data already in your gym. Active subscriptions, churn patterns, seasonality and new-member run rate become forecast scenarios your team can review and export.

3Scenarios
12 monthsForecast Horizon
Scenario-basedPlanning

Forecasting a gym should not require a spreadsheet degree

Most gym owners we talk to already know their revenue is going to be a problem. They just find out too late. The pattern looks like this:

  • "Will we make payroll this month?" gets asked around the 25th, when the quarter is already cooked and there is nothing left to change.
  • The owner keeps a spreadsheet that tries to be a forecast. It is 3 weeks out of date the moment anyone saves it, and nobody else trusts it.
  • The bank asks for a 12-month projection before releasing a loan, and you realise you cannot produce one that would survive a second question.
  • August drops 22%, January drops 15%, and every year the plan pretends it will not happen. Then it happens.

Shredeo's forecast is the version of that spreadsheet that stays current, reads the same data your dashboard reads, and produces a number you can defend. You look at it on the 10th of the month and you already know whether April is going to land.

Revenue Forecast

2026

Optimistic
Realistic
Conservative
80k60k40k20k0JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Peak: €74k (Optimistic, Dec)

Key Benefits

MRR you can trust, not guess

Live monthly recurring revenue, broken down by plan and contract length. Projected churn per segment, new-member run rate, and the delta between this month and last. Not a dashboard you interpret. A number you can plan against.

Three scenarios, one decision

Optimistic, realistic, conservative. Built from your own history, not a generic template. Use them to size a hire, a second location, or a piece of equipment without betting the gym on a single line.

Investor-ready in one click

Export a clean PDF with MRR, projected churn, new-member curve, and the methodology behind each scenario. The format banks and partners expect, without rebuilding it in a spreadsheet the night before.

How It Works

1

We read what's already there

Your subscriptions, payments, check-ins, and cancellations are already in Shredeo. The forecast pulls from the same source of truth, so nobody has to maintain a parallel spreadsheet.

2

The model runs every night

A projection is generated at 3 AM using the last 12 to 24 months of data, segmented by plan, acquisition channel, and tenure. You wake up to an updated number and a variance report against last week's forecast.

3

Compare actual vs. forecast weekly

Every Monday you see how last week tracked against the projection. Over-performance and under-performance, with the segment that caused it. Course-correct before the quarter is cooked.

Questions gym owners ask us about the forecast

How do you approach forecast accuracy?+
The model is trained on your gym, not a generic one. It segments active subscriptions by plan, contract length and tenure, then compares the projection to what actually came in. When the variance is meaningful, the team can review the segment that moved and adjust the operating plan.
What happens in seasonal dips like August or December?+
Seasonality is the first thing the model learns. Your quiet month is built into every scenario, not treated as a surprise. If you lost 22% last August, the forecast plans for a 22% dip this August, not a flat line. You see it coming in May and can run a summer retention campaign, pre-sell September memberships, or simply reduce a coach's hours for six weeks without panic. December works the same way. The dip is visible, the recovery curve is visible, and your January cash position is projected 90 days in advance.
Can it aggregate multiple locations?+
Yes. If you run two or more sites on Shredeo, the forecast rolls them up into a group view and lets you drill down per location. You see which site is pulling the group up, which one is bleeding, and which one is about to hit capacity. Multi-site operators use this to decide where the next coach goes, where the next piece of equipment is needed, and whether a third site is financially realistic within 9 months.
Can I export it for my bank or investors?+
One click produces a PDF with your MRR, projected churn per segment, new-member run rate, and a 12-month projection across the three scenarios. Methodology is included in the footer so a credit analyst can see how the number was built. A spreadsheet export (XLSX) is also available for bankers who want to run their own sensitivity analysis. Both formats are ready the same afternoon you need them, not the night before the meeting.
How much history do I need before the forecast is useful?+
Three months of data gives a directional read. Six months is stronger for monthly planning, and twelve months helps the model understand seasonality. If you are migrating from another tool, we can import historical subscriptions and payments during onboarding so the first forecast starts from existing context.
How fast does it improve after I onboard?+
The first forecast runs within 24 hours of your data landing in Shredeo. Every new week of actuals tightens the model. Most gyms see accuracy jump noticeably around week 4, when the system has observed a full billing cycle of renewals and failed payments. By month 3 the variance between forecast and actual is small enough that you stop checking. That is the goal.

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